Math & statistics.
The full distribution. Every outcome, with its selection weight.
GAME MODE / BASE
Base 1× cost
One paid spin and all triggered free spins form one outcome.
The bonus is a feature inside the base round. Only the base mode has a separate participation cost.
DETAILED METRICS
Outcome breakdown
Zero: 0× · Below cost: (0×, 1×) · Break-even: exactly 1× · Profit: above 1×. These groups partition all outcomes.
Streak estimates assume independent, identically distributed rounds and a fixed starting point: qᵏ. They do not estimate the longest streak anywhere in a session.
HIT RATE DISTRIBUTION / BASE
Contribution to total RTP in percentage points. Linear width, relative to the largest value.
Payout ranges use multiples of participation cost. The table below includes exact probabilities and counts.
| Payout range | Corpus records | Unique payouts | Probability | Frequency | RTP contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| {0} | 361,956 | 1 | 35.20939% | 1 in 2.8402 | 0 pp |
| (0, 0.1) | 0 | 0 | 0% | — | 0 pp |
| [0.1, 1) | 475,870 | 9 | 48.32686% | 1 in 2.0692 | 18.05519641 pp |
| [1, 2) | 88,190 | 10 | 8.95611% | 1 in 11.1656 | 11.69524865 pp |
| [2, 5) | 42,931 | 30 | 4.35985% | 1 in 22.9366 | 12.31376789 pp |
| [5, 10) | 12,570 | 50 | 1.27654% | 1 in 78.3366 | 8.1082027 pp |
| [10, 20) | 9,255 | 100 | 0.93989% | 1 in 106.3955 | 13.66482188 pp |
| [20, 50) | 8,111 | 300 | 0.82371% | 1 in 121.4019 | 24.27197227 pp |
| [50, 100) | 1,018 | 373 | 0.10338% | 1 in 967.2794 | 6.6797843 pp |
| [100, 200) | 39 | 39 | 0.00396064% | 1 in 25,248.47 | 0.45234519 pp |
| [200, 500) | 10 | 10 | 0.00005078% | 1 in 1,969,380.96 | 0.02206683 pp |
| [500, 1000) | 10 | 10 | 0.00005078% | 1 in 1,969,380.96 | 0.03291186 pp |
| [1000, 2000) | 8 | 8 | 0.00004062% | 1 in 2,461,726.2 | 0.06503008 pp |
| [2000, 5000) | 22 | 22 | 0.00011171% | 1 in 895,173.16 | 0.38476507 pp |
| [5000, 10000) | 10 | 1 | 0.00005078% | 1 in 1,969,380.96 | 0.25388689 pp |
| [10000, ∞) | 0 | 0 | 0% | — | 0 pp |
| Total | 1,000,000 | 963 | 100% | 1 in 1 | 96 pp |
[a, b) includes a and excludes b. Zero is its own band. Counts describe corpus records; probabilities use weights. Exact rational values are included in JSON and CSV. Contributions sum to RTP before display rounding.
MODE STATISTICS / BASE
| Property | Value |
|---|---|
| Participation cost / base stake | 1× |
| RTP / expected payout | 96.00% / 0.96× |
| Exact expected payout | 24/25 |
| Standard deviation / variance | 6.5455199719 / 42.8438317024 |
| Minimum / available maximum | 0× / 5,000× |
| Declared maximum | 5,000× |
| Corpus records | 1,000,000 |
| Positive-weight / zero-weight records | 1,000,000 / 0 |
| Zero-payout records (unweighted count) | 361,956 |
| Unique reachable / all payout values | 963 / 963 |
| Total selection weight | 427697552492700 |
| Weighted payout sum (hundredths) | 41058965039299200 |
| Zero payout / below-cost payout | 35.20939% / 48.32686% |
| Break-even / profitable outcome | 1.8815% / 14.58225% |
| Loss probability (payout below cost) | 83.53625% |
| Any payout frequency | 1 in 1.5434 |
| Profitable outcome frequency | 1 in 6.8577 |
| Available maximum probability | 0.00005078% |
| Available maximum frequency | 1 in 1,969,380.96 |
| Most probable payout value(s) | 0× |
| Most probable payout probability / frequency | 35.20939% / 1 in 2.8402 |
| Expected free spins per paid round | 0.169737 |
| Recorded free spins (unweighted) | 167,929 |
| Largest book (bytes, uncompressed) | 36,274 |
STATISTICS VALIDATION
9 passedProfile: jetreon-corpus-integrity/1. These are Jetreon integrity checks. External 2 Star / 3 Star requirements have not been attached to this report.
Source integrityPassed
Each book matches its lookup ID, payout and event schema; source hashes are unchanged.
Result: 1,000,000 books matched
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / source-integrityProbability conservationPassed
Exact probabilities of all disjoint payout bands sum to 1.
Result: 1/1
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / probability-massRTP contribution conservationPassed
Exact band contributions sum to the mode RTP.
Result: 24/25
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / rtp-contributionConfigured RTPPassed
Weighted RTP equals the configured 24/25 target.
Result: 24/25
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / target-rtpBase participation costPassed
Base mode costs exactly 1× the base stake.
Result: 1×
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / base-costDeclared maximum is reachablePassed
A positive-weight outcome pays the configured 5,000× cap.
Result: 5000× available
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / declared-capRound payout attributionPassed
Base payout plus the paid bonus payout equals every full-round payout.
Result: 1,000,000 rounds matched
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / payout-attributionRecorded mechanic examplesPassed
All examples have positive source weight and satisfy the same mechanic predicate used for these frequencies.
Result: 12 examples matched
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / replay-provenanceSaved local reference comparisonPassed
Normalized RTP, hit, bonus, volatility and available reference risk / payout attribution values match saved local audit statistics.
Result: Reference metrics matched; this is a local comparison
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / reference-statisticsCross-mode RTP consistencyNot applicable
Compare separately priced participation modes.
Result: Only one participation mode
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / cross-modeAbsolute exposure and liabilityNot evaluated
Monetary values require a bet-level template and currency.
Result: No bet-level template attached
jetreon-corpus-integrity/1 / absolute-exposureRISK & EXPOSURE
CVaR takes exactly 0.10% of the weighted mass, splitting the boundary payout (51.2×) when needed. This measures the operator’s gross payout tail, without subtracting participation cost.
| Threshold | Probability ≥ threshold | Frequency | Full tail payout E[x · 1(x ≥ t)] | Excess E[max(x − t, 0)] |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40× | 0.20798% | 1 in 480.8059 | 0.123568× | 0.040374× |
| 5,000× | 0.00005078% | 1 in 1,969,380.96 | 0.002539× | 0× |
| 10,000× | 0% | — | 0× | 0× |
| 25,000× | 0% | — | 0× | 0× |
| 50,000× | 0% | — | 0× | 0× |
| 100,000× | 0% | — | 0× | 0× |
Thresholds are inclusive. Full tail payout and excess payout have different definitions. Nested tails overlap and are not added together. All expectations are per paid round, relative to its cost.
MECHANIC STATISTICS
Payouts attributed using recorded paid totals, checked against each full-round payout. Mechanic frequencies below count complete paid rounds, including their bonus; overlapping mechanics do not sum to 100%.
Free-spin entry2.06593%
The complete round contains at least one free spin.
1 in 48.4044 paid rounds · 20,400 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleNo win35.20939%
The complete round pays exactly zero.
1 in 2.8402 paid rounds · 361,956 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleNormal win63.85925%
The complete round pays more than zero and less than 20×.
1 in 1.5659 paid rounds · 628,816 corpus records.
Try recorded examplePub owner Wild19.27508%
At least one paid or free spin has a paying line whose hasWild flag is true.
1 in 5.188 paid rounds · 189,855 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleRound on the House34.45995%
The paid spin records a positive cash-pint collection. Free-spin collections alone are excluded.
1 in 2.9019 paid rounds · 339,358 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleGolden pint · double collection5.16142%
At least one paid or free spin records a collection with a golden factor of exactly 2.
1 in 19.3745 paid rounds · 50,881 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleHighland cow anticipation9.86254%
The paid-spin grid contains exactly 2 Highland cow Scatters.
1 in 10.1394 paid rounds · 99,040 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleLast Orders! · 8 free spins2.06593%
The paid spin awards exactly 8 free spins.
1 in 48.4044 paid rounds · 20,400 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleTray multiplier upgrade2.06583%
At least one free spin ends with a tray multiplier higher than its starting multiplier.
1 in 48.4068 paid rounds · 20,399 corpus records.
Among rounds that enter free spins: 99.99508%.
Try recorded exampleTray multiplier · ×51.58689%
At least one free-spin collection records the maximum tray multiplier of 5×.
1 in 63.0162 paid rounds · 15,683 corpus records.
Among rounds that enter free spins: 76.81266%.
Try recorded exampleCow retrigger · +3 free spins0.14153%
At least one free spin awards exactly 3 additional free spins. Smaller awards limited by the 16-spin cap are excluded.
1 in 706.5804 paid rounds · 1,443 corpus records.
Among rounds that enter free spins: 6.85051%.
Try recorded exampleBig win0.93131%
The complete round pays at least 20× and less than 5,000×.
1 in 107.3759 paid rounds · 9,218 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleMaximum win · 5,000×0.00005078%
The complete round pays exactly the declared 5,000× cap.
1 in 1,969,380.96 paid rounds · 10 corpus records.
Try recorded exampleExamples use the same corpus hashes. Open an example and press Spin. A selected example does not represent the mechanic’s frequency.
HOW THE MATH WORKS
One paid round, including its bonus
A 5-reel, 3-row game with 20 paylines. Three or more matching symbols pay from left to right. The Pub owner Wild substitutes for paying symbols. Amber pints may carry cash values of 0.1×, 0.2×, 0.5×, 1×, 2× or 5×.
A Serving tray collects all cash pints once per spin; extra trays do not duplicate the collection. A golden pint doubles the entire cash-pint subtotal once. The tray multiplier starts at 1×; a successful free-spin collection raises it for the next spin, up to 5×.
At least 3 Highland cow Scatters award 8 Last Orders free spins, or up to 3 more during the bonus. Total awarded free spins cannot exceed 16. Line wins and collections share a 5,000× full-round cap.
Paytable and rounding
The table shows line payouts in multiples of the base stake. Recorded paid spin totals use integer hundredths in 0.1× increments. At the cap, the paid spin total can be smaller than its raw line-plus-collection total. RTP attribution therefore uses the capped spin totals, not raw collection amounts.
| Symbol | 3 matching | 4 matching | 5 matching |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amber pint | 0.1× | 0.5× | 1.5× |
| Highland whisky | 0.2× | 0.6× | 2.1× |
| Steak pie | 0.2× | 0.9× | 3.1× |
| Cheese board | 0.3× | 1.2× | 4× |
| Bagpipes | 0.4× | 1.5× | 5.5× |
| Golden stag | 0.6× | 2.4× | 7.3× |
Generator samples and final selection weights
The finite corpus includes ordinary and importance-sampled rare outcomes. Final integer lookup weights define probabilities; generation counts and local generator settings do not. This report covers the corpus linked to the replay library.
METHODOLOGY & DOWNLOADS
Definitions and exact arithmetic
For outcome i, pᵢ = wᵢ / Σw and xᵢ = payoutᵢ / (100 × mode cost). RTP = 100 × Σ(pᵢxᵢ). Standard deviation = √[Σ(pᵢxᵢ²) − mean²]. Hit = P(x > 0); profit = P(x > 1). Frequency = 1 / probability, including the event round.
Integer weight sums and rational RTP / band contributions are retained exactly. Zero-weight records count toward corpus size but cannot define reachable payouts. Display values are rounded; JSON retains numeric precision and exact rational band values. No confidence interval is needed for this finite weighted distribution.
No Low / Medium / High volatility label is assigned without a defined classification scale. External profiles and monetary risk remain unevaluated when their required configuration is absent.
Saved independent local audit
Saved independent local audit; not a live platform check. Reference RTP, hit probability, bonus entry, standard deviation and available risk metrics were compared after normalizing each report’s units.
release/highland-cheers-math-v1/audit-report.jsonSHA-256 / febf5c456fbb5087bb9df21043469b799f7d157b829f44e13fdd5d04a357f5eeSource files and report identity
Generated: 08/10/2026, 17:50:55 UTC
Analyzer: jetreon-weighted-statistics/1
Analyzer SHA-256: 9f2c73724ed54a88c71a0dee8135f12138cc1710664ab1f0130e9fe777dcfb3f
Report ID: 9edbb20d3e7303e10f718f8039647d0c83fafb3667108d619c26caf4518c6698
release/highland-cheers-math-v1/index.json154 bytesSHA-256 / d7de1050366cc5ac5f864fa2094a6c056483612176b804d21b62ee508eabda1erelease/highland-cheers-math-v1/books_base.jsonl.zst46,283,083 bytesSHA-256 / 1ef287d6eb7e5fddaf6497bc51782b043ce77b7177cbb5762cbe42df83978559release/highland-cheers-math-v1/lookUpTable_base_0.csv19,707,676 bytesSHA-256 / 42d4001ed658a3068ad10fb2d9e0b23b3e5c7a5847ff1038177c105312e28335release/highland-cheers-math-v1/export-report.json773 bytesSHA-256 / 2fa9010b0e7fe1b6c4af5e9db97295eb0477384e7cd5fa9b2ff50a468cb6d271titles/highland-cheers/src/math.tsSHA-256 / 07255aefbaec50866bd2ab51a07953ad357ea64fca66c03f46eb5e11f614fd62JSON SHA-256: 691addc8899277120b6b1180edb489199151b6ac546a3ff04e30d6142422ad0a
CSV SHA-256: 13641717301b4658ee36b5f024a079c30dc7c1536d0c1608a100aead1a4dbe2c
All books are read with their corresponding lookup rows. IDs, payouts, schema, base/bonus payout attribution and unchanged source hashes are checked. This analysis does not re-evaluate every payline or certify platform acceptance. Full event books and lookup files are not included in the public downloads.